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Debt means different things to different people. For a family with two modest income jobs (if they're lucky enough to have jobs), a mortgage and two kids in college, debt is the only route to having a reasonable standard of living with some guarantee of the satisfaction of health care needs or other insurances against the contingencies of life. Debt
and its burdens count as a withdrawal against future income and wealth.
For most people – and most people fit this profile to some extent –
mortgages, credit cards, home equity loans and other forms of borrowing
– are the only bridge to a level of comfort available to the previous
generation of working people.
For the professional and small business class – what Marx called the
petite-bourgeoisie – debt is the mechanism that provides a standard of
living that establishes a common bond and identity with the very rich.
Jumbo mortgages, expensive car loans, small business loans, and lines
of credit support membership in the clubs, associations, and parties of
the wealthy, while greasing the track of access to business and social
contacts.
But in the stratosphere of economic life – with the very rich and
monopoly corporations – debt plays an entirely different role. At this
rarified level of economic life, debt is an important – very important
- tool for the accumulation of wealth. Apart from collecting the
interest on the debt of everyone else, the very rich use the easy
access to “other people’s money” to finance mergers and acquisitions,
leverage investment opportunities, and influence and exploit the
direction of economic events.
Economic textbooks celebrate the access to borrowed funds as the spigot
for entrepreneurial initiative and bootstrap risk-taking, but this is
merely a doctrinaire distortion of debt’s actual role. Even in the
heralded dot.com boom and the popularization of venture capital as the
debt-driven fuel for innovation and business creation, borrowed money
was funneled into financial speculation and acquisition more than
productive activity. The collapse of NASDAQ stocks saw the destruction
of enormous reservoirs of unreal wealth – not unreal because it was
fictitious, but unreal because it was obligations against future
economic activity that would never be realized. That is to say, it was,
broadly speaking, financial debt.
As economic data demonstrates and the current crisis underscores,
debt-reinforced financial speculation plays a larger role in the
capitalist economy than at any time in the past. In the US, in
particular, financial activity nearly dominated the economy before the
crash, accounting for over forty per cent of profits. Much of this
explosion of activity was both speculative and debt-driven. Despite
much inflamed rhetoric about taming it, the truth is that financial
speculation marches on unabated: half of US corporate profits were
derived from the financial sector in the last quarter.
Greece
In the fall of 2009, the media spotlight fell upon the fiscal health of
Greece, a mid-level economy in the European Union. The newly elected
social-democratic PASOK government revealed that the former
conservative government had substantially understated the budget
deficit. While tongues wagged, this revelation only exposed what
everyone knew but never spoke. With only a few exceptions, every EU
government ran budget deficits far beyond the EU guidelines. Moreover,
in the face of an enormous world-wide economic downturn, deficit
spending was the order of the day, urged by every responsible
economist. The revised budget deficit as a percentage of GDP, while
exceeding most EU countries, was less than Ireland’s and not that much
greater than Spain’s and the UK’s. Total debt as percentage of GDP was
also – roughly on the level of Italy – but not that much more than some
other countries. In fact, Japan’s debt/GDP level is nearly double
Greece’s. The next big fiscal challenge facing Greece was to be the
redemption of 8.5 billion euros of Greek bonds on May 19, 2010, seven
months after the budget announcement. Nonetheless, Greece became the
poster child for fiscal irresponsibility. And a ferocious attack was
launched on Greece from many quarters.
Like locusts, financial speculators descended upon Greece. Default
insurance on Greek bonds rose from $120,000 on $10 million in
September, 2009 to $425,000 in February, 2010 and over $900,000 on
April 27. The yield spread between German 10 year bonds and their Greek
counterparts grew from 1.3 in September, 2009 to 4 points in February,
2010, peaking at 5.17 on April 22 – a fateful day when trading in Greek
bonds virtually stopped. In a rather tepid defense of speculative
traders, The Wall Street Journal conceded that in November, “A wide
array of financial firms now launched aggressive bearish bets against
Greek bonds and the euro, too – some seeking to profit and some just to
protect themselves.” Interestingly, the Journal notes that others
seeking to protect themselves simply sold off their holdings in Greek
bonds at that time, a move that softened the market for Greek bonds and
assuredly increased the value of the “bearish bets”.
Big players in
credit default swaps in “late 2009 and early 2010 included Goldman
Sachs Group Inc., Barclays, Spain’s Banco Santander and France’s Credit
Agricole SA.” Unmentioned in the Journal apology for speculators was
the pregnant fact that investors in credit default swaps (“bearish
bets”) need have nothing to protect and only profits to gain, a now
established modus operandi of the ubiquitous Goldman Sachs. As for the
euro, speculators decidedly moved markets, betting against it. The same
Journal article reported that “By February 9, Chicago Mercantile
Exchange contracts betting on a decline in the euro against the dollar
outnumbered positive bets by a record of over 54,000, according to CFTC
[Commodity Futures Trading Commission] data.” It was no wonder that an
exasperated Greek Prime Minister, George Papandreou, blamed “traders
and speculators” for Greece’s woes.
With speculative capitalism, manipulation trumps perception and
reality. The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) is the keeper of
sovereign debt statistics, responsible for supplying data to all
institutions – including the International Monetary Fund – regarding
the debt of all countries. A curious thing happened this spring: “Then,
on April 22, BIS released its fourth-quarter report. In the latest
count European bank exposure to Greece dropped by tens of billions of
dollars, led by Swiss banks’ exposure that plummeted 95% to $3.7
billion”, according to The Wall Street Journal (4-25-10). Remember,
April 22 was the critical day when Greek bond trading nearly came to a
halt. With nearly one-third of total Greek debt disappearing overnight,
one would think that markets would have reacted; none did. With
European banks miraculously reduced in exposure to Greece’s woes, one
would look for some good news in euro currency trading; none appeared.
“’We don’t fully understand the marked reduction in Swiss bank exposure
to Greece’ Citigroup chief economist Willem Buiter, a former Bank of
England official, wrote in 70-page report published this week on
Europe’s sovereign-debt problems”, offered The Wall Street Journal.
The point here is not that the Greek debt was bogus – likely it was
simply distributed differently than the BIS reported – but that
perception had no effect on the debt or currency markets. The
speculative attack on Greece continued relentlessly.
The speculative onslaught was expressed in other ways. As The New York
Times reported on May 9, 2010: “The crisis, by contrast [to other
debt-induced crises], seemed to ricochet from country to country in
seconds as traders simultaneously abandoned everything from Portuguese
bonds to American blue chips. On Wall Street on Thursday afternoon,
televised images of rioting in Athens to protest austerity measures
only amplified the anxiety as the stock market plunged nearly 1,000
points.” Despite the Times calculated attempt to bring the victims –
the outraged Greek citizenry – into the explanation, the speed and
scope of the financial onslaught underline the role of financial
speculation. In Greece, the Acropolis still stood, but the financial
world was in shambles despite an announced bailout of $146 billion the
week before. Seemingly, nothing could satisfy the speculators – the
same voracious beasts that brought the US economy to its knees in 2008
– once they had tasted blood.
The European Response
What began as a scold over $236 billion of Greek debt and a budget
deficit of under $30 billion in the fall of 2009 morphed into a $955
billion euro-zone wide bailout package in May of 2010. How could a
small cut in the Euro-body develop into a gaping, life-threatening
wound half a year later?
Earlier in the global crisis, I wrote of the danger of “centrifugal
forces” in the European Union undercutting any effort to construct a
common solution to the crisis. Indeed, I projected “that these
centrifugal forces… threaten to disrupt it [the EU], if not break it
apart.” By that claim, I meant that the differently scaled economies of
the constituent states with different levels of development, with
different national and cultural values, with different standards of
living, with different approaches to the market, etc. would prove to be
an obstacle to a common program. In short, European integration was
both mythical and incomplete. It was these “centrifugal forces” that
made the EU, beginning with the contrived Greek crisis, easy prey for
the speculative wolves.
In the US, when the banking system sagged and threatened to collapse
under the weight of rampant financial speculation, the government
anointed the largest institutions as “too big to fail” and supported
this anointment with massive infusions of federal funds. This
commitment effectively drove the speculative wolves from the door. At
the same time, political forces and the labor movement in the US missed
a golden opportunity to cage the speculators and socialize the
financial sector. It must be remembered that sufficient public funds
were made available to effectively buy the financial giants when they
were on their knees. The opportunity is gone and these banks and
speculators are now barking at the European door along with their
global counterparts.
Much of the blame for the European fiasco is placed on the shoulders of
the German government and its “Germany first” nationalism that delayed
any effective response to the speculative attack. With the largest,
most advanced and most thoroughly neo-liberalized economy in the EU,
the German foot-dragging on a bailout demonstrated the “centrifugal
forces” that challenge a united Union.
In the end, after toying with more modest bailout proposals that might
have stemmed or, at least, slowed the tide of speculative assault, the
EU was forced to offer a massive backstop to the attacks, signaling a
determination to meet the bets regardless of the speculative ante. In
this six month casino power play, no one in the popular or financial
press challenged a financial system that could so utterly threaten
global economic stability; instead tiny Greece was blame for its
irresponsible and profligate economic policies.
The Political Ploy
Capitalism is anathema to cooperation. The very nature of capitalist
social and economic relations based upon competition and
self-enrichment foreclose the possibility of common action in the
economic sphere. On the other hand, capitalists eagerly work
politically to achieve common ends. They unfailingly pool their
resources, direct the corporate media, and craft a common plan in
pursuit of political advantage. These facts, more than any others, are
the foundation for the Marxist theory of a ruling class. And nothing
demonstrated this political solidarity – ruling class solidarity – more
clearly than capitalism’s world-wide response to the Greek debt farce.
Without exception, world leaders and their corporate mouth-pieces
called for debt reduction through social austerity; the capitalist
class saw an opportunity to benefit from the financial debacle and it
seized it. The thrust of this call was to reduce public sector spending
for human needs, not spending on the military, security services,
corporate subsidies, or public-private partnerships, but salaries,
pensions and social welfare. New revenues were to be generated through
regressive taxes that would place even greater burden on working
people, while leaving corporations and the very rich only modestly
discomfited.
The promise of a financial bailout and the shabby decadence of social
democracy, led the Greek PASOK government to surrender with only a
whimper to the savage cuts demanded by the EU and the IMF: public
sector salaries are to be cut, along with benefits. The retirement age
will be dramatically increased and regressive consumption taxes will be
imposed. Work rules will be changed to the benefit of employers and
privatization will be sought. In short, the social democratic
government agreed to dismantle the social democratic safety net that
Greek and European workers fought so hard to establish. Even the IMF
estimates that Greek unemployment will reach 15% next year. A former
advisor to the IMF, quoted in The Wall Street Journal, said that “The
scope of these conditions is brutal.”
With the capitulation of the Greek government, pressure shifted to
other EU governments, including those with relatively modest
vulnerability to speculative encroachment. Ireland has projected cuts
of 5-15% for public sector workers, nearly$1 billion in welfare
benefits, and a reduction in child-benefit payments; Spain has
announced 65 billion euros in cuts including a five per cent cut in
public sector wages; and Portugal projects public sector wage cuts and
a value added consumer tax increase. The Sarkozy government in France
has announced plans to raise the retirement age from its current
minimum of 60 years to 62 or 63 and the newly elected coalition
government in the UK plans to make drastic cuts totaling $8.65 billion
even before a new budget is offered in the coming months.
In the private clubs and corporate board rooms these “preemptive” moves
are cause for celebration. From the shadows of a speculation-induced
crisis remotely involving Greece, elites are witnessing the collapse of
the European safety net and the immiseration of the European working
class with the quiet acquiescence of Social Democratic Parties.
Ironies abound. The rush to extreme austerity in Europe will dampen any
hope of economic recovery; growth will be stifled and unemployment will
jump with the loss of billions of euros in consumer purchasing power.
The austerity programs will necessarily result in a self-induced
economic downturn. Even more ironic, the US Treasury Secretary, Timothy
Geithner, and other US officials are arguing forcefully that the
Europeans should not abandon the course of economic stimulation, a
course completely at odds with the new-found commitment to fiscal
austerity and reduced public spending. US officials fear, correctly,
that a deeper downturn in Europe will scotch any chance of a US
recovery.
While lobbying in Europe, Geithner is urging Germany to back away from
its unilateral ban on financial market speculation. Irony of ironies,
Germany tacitly recognizes the devastation caused by financial
speculation: “Certain transactions that threaten the stability of
financial markets should be forbidden”, according to the deputy German
finance minister. This amounts to a confession that the debt crisis
wracking the EU was induced by financial bets not tethered to
productive investment. And Geithner’s role in opposing this ban is to
protect the financial behemoths that dominate the US economy. Such are
the contradictions of capitalism for all to see.
A Line in the Sand
It is no exaggeration to say that the most intense and determined
opposition to this capitalist ambush has come from the Greek Communist
Party (KKE) and its All Workers Militant Front (PAME), a workers’
umbrella organization that unites Greece’s most militant unions and
unionists. The Greek Party, since the demise of the Soviet Union, has
served as the unifying center for Marxist-Leninists throughout the
world and a significant force in electoral politics and revolutionary
activism in Greece. Throughout the current economic crisis, the KKE has
acted to defend the gains of Greek working people while calling for
radical structural reforms to seize the opportunity afforded by a
wounded capitalism. Unlike the maneuvering and temporizing of much of
the left and Communist-lite Parties, the KKE has foregone Facebook
militancy for demonstration and confrontation in the streets. Unlike
the blurry all-class approach of many organizations, the KKE and PAME
have struck a posture of working class partisanship with an unabashed
goal of socialism. With the current violent assault on European living
standards, the KKE was well-prepared to organize massive strikes and
demonstrations to meet the attacks. By cajoling and shaming the more
backward social democratic unions, KKE and PAME have brought hundreds
of thousands of Greeks into angry and determined resistance.
As Aleka Papariga, the dynamic General Secretary of KKE said recently
at a press conference:
It is a tragedy for the people to lose their rights, to see their wages
being cut down despite the long lasting struggles in the previous
years, despite the sacrifices that led even to blood shed. But above
all it is a disgrace -and we do not believe that this will happen-
these barbarous measures to pass without the people’s resistance,
without the people’s counterattack and even more so to give the
impression that the people consent to these measures.
On May 12, 2010, she affirmed:
Our strategy is to stop the barbaric measures being imposed as much as
we possibly can under today’s conditions, to prevent them from being
legitimized in people’s consciousness, for working people to
disassociate from PASOK and ND and their policies, for the movement to
regroup and move forward on a course of counter-attack in order to
overturn today’s balance of forces, for people’s power. We are not
indifferent and neutral observers but since the political balance of
forces does not permit us effective intervention in favor of the
people, we put priority on the movement, outside of the Parliament…
For this reason joining forces with KKE is necessary, regardless of
whether working people agree with KKE on everything, or if they have
questions or different viewpoints on socialism.
It is this boldness with a commitment to principled unity that
separates the KKE approach from the more tepid left organizations in
the EU and the US. It has been said that early in his Presidency, Bill
Clinton was told that he could not pursue a particular policy course
because the bond markets would respond unfavorably. It is time for this
shackle to be broken. Few have the courage to tackle this logic, but
the Greek working class does under the leadership of Communists. We
should all rejoice.
Further, the KKE sees success in this struggle as furthering Greek
independence from the oppressive constraints of regional and
international watchdogs and towards people’s power and socialism.
The example of Greece has shown the way for worker militancy in
Portugal, Spain, and France. Demonstrations and strikes have been
organized and called to meet the coming onslaught on working class
standards of living in those countries.
We, too, in the US and other capitalist countries, should follow the
Greek example. Currently, the Obama administration has a stealth plan
under the innocuous name of the National Commission on Fiscal
Responsibility and Reform designed to eviscerate Social Security,
Medicare, and Medicaid after the November, 2010 elections. We must not
only fight this but demand a strengthening of these three pillars of
working class living standards.
We must go beyond a policy of awarding tax credits, encouraging
contractor profiteering, and subsidizing low wage jobs to solve the
unemployment crisis; we must fight for legislation establishing a
shorter work week at the same pay to create the space for good paying,
sustainable jobs.
We must re-establish the antiwar movement with a strong
anti-imperialist voice to halt US, NATO, and Israeli aggression against
countries entitled to their own peaceful course. Consider attending the
inaugural United National Peace Conference in Albany, NY, July 23-25
(www.nationalpeaceconference.org).
And let us not forget our Greek comrades. I urge everyone to approach
your union local, labor council, community group, movement chapter, and
political organization to send messages of thanks and solidarity to the
KKE (cpg@int.kke.gr) and PAME (international@pamehellas.gr).
June 1, 2010
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